{"id":1485,"date":"2019-05-01T16:12:45","date_gmt":"2019-05-01T16:12:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\/?p=1485"},"modified":"2019-05-02T08:46:16","modified_gmt":"2019-05-02T08:46:16","slug":"737-max-sales-will-recover-but-another-crash-like-dc-10-could-be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\/reviews\/2019\/05\/01\/737-max-sales-will-recover-but-another-crash-like-dc-10-could-be\/","title":{"rendered":"737 MAX sales will recover but another crash like DC-10 could be&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Boeing 737 MAX deliveries will surely regain momentum, though it may take time to get approvals from the various regulatory authorities now that the FAA has lost its sheen.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Airlines, in particular low-cost-carriers, have put so much investment in the 737 and are not in the main going to move to Airbus, even though they may suggest the possibility to get better terms from Boeing. In fact, Airbus would not be able to ramp up production very significantly.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Parallels with the DC-10<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">However, there are some parallels with the sad history of the McDonnell Douglas DC-10. Design was rushed in order to compete with the Lockheed&#8217;s L1011 TriStar.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">In 1972, a DC-10 flying along the border between the US and Canada almost crashed when it became almost  uncontrollable when a cargo hold door blew out with the result that the pressure differential between the passenger cabin and the hold caused the cabin floor to buckle.  <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The hydraulic lines and cables to the tail were attached to the underside and damage to these was what was making the aircraft difficult to control. Fortunately the floor had been reinforced to support a piano for an inaugural event and the pilots were left with just enough control to bring the aircraft back to the airport with good  airmanship, adjusting the power of the low-slung engines to raise and lower the nose.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Within three weeks of the Detroit\/Windsor\nscare, the NTSB made two urgent recommendations:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.&nbsp;&nbsp;\nModification of the DC-10 door-locking mechanism so that it is\nphysically impossible to bring the vent-flap-locking handle to its stowed\nposition without the C-latch locking pins being fully engaged.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2.&nbsp;&nbsp;\nVents&nbsp;(holes) should be\nincorporated in cabin floors to greatly relieve sudden pressure differentials,\nsuch as those caused by the opening of a cargo hold door in flight.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Gentleman\u2019s Agreement<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The NTSB could only advise. It was\nup to the FAA to make these two modifications mandatory. <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Just when the FAA was about to\nissue an airworthiness directive (AD) making interim and long-term solutions\nmandatory for all US operators of the DC-10 (which foreign operators would have\nfollowed), discussions between the FAA administrator and the president of the\nDouglas division of McDonnell Douglas led to the senior FAA technical staff\nbeing overruled. Douglas and the FAA were no doubt being subjected to pleading\nfrom US airlines, who would not want to take their aircraft out of service in the\npeak summer season. So, the FAA did not issue that airworthiness directive.\nInstead, McDonnell Douglas almost immediately issued recommendations, in\nparticular the installation of a \u201clock mechanism viewing window.\u201d <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">This gentleman\u2019s agreement&nbsp;between the FAA administrator and McDonnell Douglas\u2019s Douglas division president sufficed to prevent a repeat accident <em>in the United States<\/em>, but not to prevent a DC-10 crashing after taking off from Paris for London with the loss of 345 lives.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"> The FAA hurriedly made the measures the NTSB had recommended mandatory. These included floor vents. Passengers are safer now thanks to that. <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The DC-10 was only grounded when a DC-10 taking off from Chicago lost an engine and crashed.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"180\" height=\"187\" src=\"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/image009.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1491\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Further to this, the public lost confidence in the DC-10 and sales petered out. This was unfair as the engine had fallen off because maintenance workers had contrary to instructions used a fork lift to remove the engine and in so doing had damage the pylon. In fact, the DC-10 albeit in limited numbers flew safely for airlines for many years.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">If the max were to similarly have a terrible accident in the US sometime in the future, one that was not Boeing&#8217;s fault, the public&#8217;s refusal to fly on it could, however unfairly, be a serious problem for Boeing and not least those low-cost-carriers. <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\">SEE CHAPTER 6 in Table of Contents<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Boeing 737 MAX deliveries will surely regain momentum, though it may take time to get approvals from the various regulatory authorities now that the FAA has lost its sheen. Airlines, in particular low-cost-carriers, have put so much investment in the 737 and are not in the main going to move to Airbus, even though they &#8230; <a title=\"737 MAX sales will recover but another crash like DC-10 could be&#8230;\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\/reviews\/2019\/05\/01\/737-max-sales-will-recover-but-another-crash-like-dc-10-could-be\/\" aria-label=\"More on 737 MAX sales will recover but another crash like DC-10 could be&#8230;\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>737 MAX sales will recover but another crash like DC-10 could be... &#187; Christopher Bartlett&#039;s blog for<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/chrisbart.com\/reviews\/2019\/05\/01\/737-max-sales-will-recover-but-another-crash-like-dc-10-could-be\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DC-10 crashed overseas after FAA&#039;s &quot;Gentleman&#039;s agreement&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Boeing 737 MAX deliveries will surely regain momentum, though it may take time to get approvals from the various regulatory authorities now that the FAA has lost its sheen. 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